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Are trends useful when you bet NFL preseason probabilities? What trends would be worth thinking about for NFL preseason wagering? 
As you prepare to bet preseason games for 2010, here are some statistics in sports forecasting to consider.
NFL preseason probabilities begin with the Hall of Fame Game which is an extra game for both Dallas and Cincinnati. Every other NFL squad will play four while they will play five preseason games. Plenty of trends don’t apply to the Hall of Fame Game since the game is a neutral site game. The first week of the preseason is where you are able to start looking at home and away trends.
You would think that home teams will win more regularly against the NFL preseason probabilities than road teams, yet you’d be incorrect in that supposition. Home teams actually don’t win more regularly than road teams. In reality, when getting points in NFL preseason wagering, they’re not a quality bet in any way. You are able to practically do well enough wagering vs home faves to earn cash on a consistent basis in the preseason. Road long shots are at about 54% against the spread the past 10 years. Another trend comes into play when you examine this number a little further. Plenty of times when you look into a big home favorite you believe they do nicely. In the preseason, that isn’t the situation. Substantial preseason home faves are a quite poor bet vs the point spread. About 60% of the time, they lose against the number. Covering a big number is challenging to do since in the preseason the starters rarely play the complete game.
Why don’t you consider taking a squad at home when they’re an underdog in the preseason? This is one trend that has worked over the past 10 years and one that adds up. Teams have been solid against the point spread, winning over 60% of the time, when the squad is receiving points at home in the preseason. It actually hasn’t made a difference how many points a squad is receiving at home. Minor home dogs and big home dogs have done equally nicely. Given that many times in the preseason the points are the way to go, this adds up. Home teams don’t do well as faves but as long shots they’ve been a lucrative bet in the preseason.
The majority of NFL teams will compete in consecutive road games at some time throughout the season, and regularly two or three times. Specifically if there’s conflicting use of the stadium, such as if it’s shared with a baseball squad, sometimes you will even see a squad play three road games back to back. You ought to look at the previous road game to decide how to bet on the next when that happens. If a squad lost on the road in its last game, it’s got a a lot better than average chance to win the next one.
It is not a excellent idea to thoughtlessly gamble on trends or angles, but you don’t want to disregard them entirely either. When you bet on road games this season, take these facts into account.
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